Reform Intelligence
Intelligence Overview

Reform UK: The Evidence Record

Independent, evidence-based analysis of Reform UK's polling trajectory, funding sources, parliamentary record, and policy positions. Every data point is sourced and verifiable.

Last updated: 30 March 2026
Polling: daily · Donations: weekly
Key Indicators
26%
Current vote share
March 2026 average
Down from peak of 49% in January 2026
ElectaMeter API
−23pp
Drop from peak
Jan 2026 → Mar 2026
Largest 2-month decline in Reform UK's polling history
ElectaMeter API
5
MPs in Parliament
As of March 2026
Nigel Farage, Rupert Lowe, Richard Tice, Lee Anderson, James McMurdock
UK Parliament
960
Active councillors
Across England & Wales
Following May 2025 local elections
Open Council Data UK
01 — Polling Trends

The Reform Bubble: Rise and Decline

Full Analysis
Peak (Jan 2026):49%
Current (Mar 2026):26%
−23pp in 2 months
Aug '24Sep '24Nov '24Dec '24Jan '25Feb '25Mar '25Apr '25May '25Jun '25Jul '25Aug '25Sep '25Nov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '2620%29%38%55%Peak 49%
Source: ElectaMeter API (composite monthly averages across all pollsters) · electameter.co.uk
02 — Donor Network

Recent Declared Donations

All
DonorAmountDate
Nicholas Candy
Property developer
£200,00028 Dec 2025
Mrs Fiona Cottrell
£100,00022 Dec 2025
Mr John Caudwell
Phones 4u founder
£50,00020 Dec 2025
Mr Ben Habib
Reform deputy leader
£25,00018 Dec 2025
Mr Arron Banks
Brexit funder
£25,00015 Dec 2025
Source: Electoral Commission · electoralcommission.org.uk
03 — Policy Tracker

Documented Policy Reversals

All
Net Zero opposition
Originally: "Scrap all net zero targets"
Now: "Retain some green energy investment"
NHS privatisation
Originally: "No NHS privatisation"
Now: "Opened door to private providers in NHS"
Flat income tax
Originally: "Flat 20% income tax for all"
Now: "Policy quietly dropped from public statements"
04 — All Intelligence Modules

Complete Dashboard Directory

Reform UK
Polling Trends
Rise, peak & decline · Bubble-burst analysis
Reform UK
By-Election Tracker
All results since Jul 2024 · Swing analysis
Reform UK
Historical Comparison
Reform vs. UKIP vs. Brexit Party trajectory
Reform UK
Polling Crosstabs
Who is leaving Reform? YouGov & More in Common
Reform UK
Seat Projection
2029 modelling at current polling
Reform UK
Donor Network
£5.2m declared · Sector & offshore analysis
Reform UK
Dark Money Watchlist
Unincorporated associations · Offshore routes
Reform UK
Registered Interests
Donor–policy correlation mapping
Reform UK
Expenditure Tracker
Campaign spending · Cost per vote
Reform UK
Parliamentary Record
5 MPs · Votes, speeches, Lowe/Farage timeline
Reform UK
Policy Tracker
Manifesto pledges · Reversals · Full Fact verdicts
Reform UK
Farage Claims Record
Documented statements & fact-check verdicts
Councillors
Council Intelligence
960 seats · 75 councils · Regional breakdown
Councillors
Councillor Incident Log
Racism · Misconduct · Criminal charges
Councillors
Councillor Departure Log
Expelled · Resigned · Became independent
Councillors
Defection Tracker
124 Tory→Reform · Reform departures
Councillors
Splinter Party Tracker
Restore Britain · Advance UK · Others
Councillors
Candidate Database
2025 local election candidates
Context
Brexit Impact Tracker
Economic consensus · Debunked claims
Context
NHS Privatisation Tracker
Tory record · Reform implications
Context
Economic Costings
IFS · Tax Policy Associates · Resolution Foundation
Context
Media Coverage Tracker
GB News · Ofcom · Cardiff University analysis
Context
Scotland & Devolved Nations
Holyrood polling · IFS Scottish manifesto
Financial
Foreign Interference Tracker
Rycroft Review · Nathan Gill conviction
Councillors
Council Policy Implementation
LSE Grantham: 7/9 councils scrapped climate targets
Reform UK
Membership & Organisational Health
268k+ claims · Vetting failures · Splinter parties
Context
News Feed
Verified sources · Commentary · Social media
Site
Corrections Log
All corrections to this site
Site
Methodology
Sources · Update schedule · Limitations
05 — Recent Changes

What Changed This Week

Full log
30 Mar 2026New ModuleForeign Interference Tracker

New module: Rycroft Review (25 Mar 2026), Nathan Gill conviction, Russia-linked donor connections, and all 17 legislative recommendations.

30 Mar 2026New ModuleCouncil Policy Implementation

New module: LSE Grantham Institute analysis — 7/9 Reform-led councils scrapped climate targets within 10 months of taking office.

30 Mar 2026New ModuleEconomic Costings Scorecard

New module: IFS and Tax Policy Associates verdicts on all major Reform UK policy proposals, including the March 2026 Scottish manifesto response.

30 Mar 2026New ModuleMedia Coverage Tracker

New module: Ofcom complaints record, Cardiff University airtime analysis, GB News ownership structure and Reform UK donor connections.

30 Mar 2026New ModuleMembership & Organisational Health

New module: 268k+ membership claims, 85+ documented vetting failures, Restore Britain splinter party, internal disputes timeline.

Scope & Editorial Position

This platform presents evidence-based, sourced analysis of Reform UK's polling trajectory, financial networks, parliamentary record, policy positions, and contextual data on Brexit and NHS privatisation. Every data point links to its primary source. No editorial commentary is added — the data speaks for itself. For misconduct and incident tracking, see Reform Watch. For Farage biographical fact-checking, see Farage Exposed.